The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

The Open Source Report

Hamas chief discusses Gaza ceasefire talks with Egypt, Qatar

Top Ukrainian spy says Ukraine on the brink, DNI Haines says war unlikely to end soon

Macron warns Europe against complacency on defense

Russian troops enter base housing U.S. military in Niger

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Dispatches from Kyiv: Glenn Corn


Alternative Perspectives


Dispatches from Kyiv: Paul Kolbe

Dispatches from Kyiv: General David Petraeus (Ret.)

Disinformation: A Weapon to Destroy Democracy?


Book Reviews

The Dead Drop

Dead Drop

This Week’s Dead Drop: May 3

“WILL NO ONE RID ME OF THIS TROUBLESOME PRIEST?”  The Wall Street Journal reported on April 27th that U.S. intelligence agencies have concluded that it is unlikely that Vladimir Putin personally ordered the killing of jailed Russian dissident Alexei Navalny in February.  According to the story – while the U.S. and allies still hold Putin accountable for the death, there is no evidence that Putin pulled the figurative trigger. Not everyone is buying the analysis that Putin’s fingerprints are not on the death warrant.  Among those who are unconvinced: the Kremlin. According to The Daily [...] More

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Podcasts

State Secrets

The Cipher Brief made its first reporting trip to Ukraine in February of 2022. That’s when we first met Tymofiy Mylovanov, the President of the Kyiv School of Economics. When we sat down with him then, Ukraine was preparing to mark one year since Russia’s brutal invasion. Mylovanov was sober at the time about what it would take to win the war and rebuild the country. Just over a year later, with an aid package that has been held up for months in Washington - I sat down with him again to talk about what it will take to rebuild Ukraine even as the war rages on - and why he still has hope even amid the challenges – for what lies ahead.

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment

Long-time New York Times correspondent joins us to his new book: “New Cold Wars: China’s Rise, Russia’s Invasion, and America’s Struggle to Defend the West” In the book, Sanger talks about the perilous times the United States finds itself – and the world of trouble presented by Russia, China - and their military, economic, and technological challenges. Read The Cipher Brief print review of the book here.

The Fight

There are few who understand this war better than Nataliya Bugayova. She lived and worked in Ukraine for years. Her present focus – as a non-resident fellow and the former Russia team lead at The Institute for the Study of War, is on the analysis of the Kremlin’s operations and on what’s happening in Ukraine today. She also serves as Director of Strategic Intelligence at a company called Vertical Knowledge.

Bugayova was part of a visiting delegation with The Cipher Brief that was led by General David Petraeus last fall. We sat down shortly afterward, to get her perspective on how this war is ‘really’ going and how she sees it ending.


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John McLaughlin Former Deputy Director of the CIA

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Admiral James Stavridis Former Supreme Allied Commander, NATO

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